"Right now, knowing what I know today, still considering a 25-basis-point cut in December ... Fed policymakers have openly puzzled over how much lower they should take the policy rate, now ...
That would have made a 32% projected probability of no ratecut. As of November 19, expectations the Fed might not cut rates in the December meeting rose to 40.9%, from 34.7% on November 18.
Regarding the Fed’s next meeting in December 2024, the market-implied probability of a 25-point ratecut is about two-thirds, while there’s a one-third probability of no cut. Fed Chair ...
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